Emerging Markets and International Diversification: What Every Canadian Investor Should Know
Canada: A Small and Concentrated Market
The S&P/TSX Composite β Canada's main stock index β is heavily weighted toward two sectors: financials (banks, insurers, wealth managers) and energy (oil, natural gas, pipelines). Together, these two sectors routinely account for more than 50% of the index. That means a drop in crude oil prices or a rise in loan defaults can drag down your entire Canadian portfolio. By contrast, US, European, and Asian markets offer broad exposure to technology, healthcare, consumer goods, and clean energy β sectors that are nearly absent from the TSX.
| Developed Markets | Emerging Markets | |
|---|---|---|
| Examples | United States, eurozone, Japan, Australia | China, India, Brazil, Mexico, South Korea, Taiwan |
| Typical weight in a global portfolio | 80β90% | Faster-growing, smaller share |
| Key strengths | Stable economies, strong corporate governance, high liquidity | Faster GDP growth, expanding middle class |
| Key risks | Lower growth potential | Higher political risk, currency volatility, regulatory uncertainty |
Both categories are typically held together β not one instead of the other.
The Case for International Diversification
International diversification reduces concentration risk by spreading your investments across economies that often move independently of one another. When Canada faces a commodity-driven downturn, Asian or European markets may be performing differently. Here are the two main building blocks:
- Developed markets (e.g., United States, eurozone, Japan, Australia) β Stable economies, strong corporate governance, and high liquidity. They typically make up 80β90% of a globally weighted equity portfolio.
- Emerging markets (e.g., China, India, Brazil, Mexico, South Korea, Taiwan) β Faster GDP growth and an expanding middle class, but also higher political risk, currency volatility, and regulatory uncertainty.
Holding both categories gives you participation in global economic growth rather than a bet on Canada's commodity cycle alone.
| Measure | Emerging Markets' Share |
|---|---|
| Share of global economic output (World Bank) | More than 40% |
| Share of global stock market capitalization | About 11β12% |
The gap between economic weight and market weight is exactly the opportunity β and the catch-up potential β that emerging-market investing is based on.
Emerging Markets: Higher Growth, Higher Risk
Emerging markets (EM) are countries whose economies are still developing but whose growth rates often outpace those of wealthier nations. India has been one of the world's fastest-growing major economies for several consecutive years. China remains the world's second-largest economy by nominal GDP. Collectively, emerging-market countries account for more than 40% of global economic output (source: World Bank), yet only about 11β12% of global stock market capitalization β a gap that reflects both their underrepresentation in public markets and their long-term catch-up potential.
That said, investing in EM comes with distinct risks:
- Political risk β sudden regulatory shifts, expropriation, or geopolitical tensions (e.g., China's 2021 crackdown on its tech sector).
- Currency volatility β local currencies can depreciate sharply against the Canadian dollar.
- Lower liquidity β some EM exchanges are less liquid and harder to trade than North American markets.
These risks don't mean you should avoid EM entirely, but they do mean you should size your allocation carefully and maintain a long time horizon.
How Much Emerging-Market Exposure Is Typical?
A market-cap-weighted global equity portfolio typically allocates around 10β13% to emerging markets. That's roughly the weighting you'll find in an all-in-one ETF like XEQT vs VEQT vs VFV. For example, XEQT (iShares Core Equity ETF Portfolio) holds hundreds of emerging-market companies through its underlying exposure to the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. VEQT (Vanguard All-Equity ETF Portfolio) does the same. These funds automatically rebalance across regions, so you don't need to manage multiple ETFs separately.
If you want a deliberate overweight to EM β because you have a strong conviction in their long-term potential β you can add a dedicated ETF such as XEC (iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF) or VEE (Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap Index ETF) alongside your core holdings.
Lean All-in-One ETF (XEQT, VEQT) if you want...
- A single fund holding thousands of global equities in market-cap-weighted proportions
- The simplest option overall
- Something that works well inside an RRSP, TFSA, or RESP without extra management
Lean Multi-ETF Approach if you want...
- To combine separate Canadian (XIU), US (XUU or VFV), international developed (XEF or VIU), and emerging-markets (XEC or VEE) ETFs
- Precise control over your regional weights
- To accept more active management in exchange for that control
How to Get International Exposure Simply
There are two main approaches for Canadian investors:
- All-in-one ETFs (XEQT, VEQT) β A single fund holds thousands of global equities (Canada, US, international developed markets, and emerging markets) in market-cap-weighted proportions. This is the simplest option and works well inside an RRSP, TFSA, or RESP.
- Multi-ETF approach β You combine, for example, a Canadian ETF (XIU), a US ETF (XUU or VFV), an international developed ETF (XEF or VIU), and an emerging-markets ETF (XEC or VEE). This requires more active management but gives you precise control over your regional weights.
Either way, the goal is the same: stop letting your portfolio's fate hinge almost entirely on Canadian financials and energy. Geographic diversification doesn't eliminate risk β it spreads it more intelligently across the global economy, so no single country's bad decade has to become yours.
Frequently asked questions
Why is the Canadian stock market considered concentrated?
The S&P/TSX Composite is heavily weighted toward financials and energy, which together often exceed 50% of the index. A shock in either sector β falling oil prices, rising loan defaults β can drag down the entire Canadian market, leaving a Canada-only portfolio with very little cushion.
Are emerging markets too risky for the average Canadian investor?
Not necessarily. Emerging markets do carry more volatility and political risk, but a modest allocation (roughly 10β15%) through a diversified ETF like XEC, or through an all-in-one fund like XEQT, can improve a portfolio's long-term risk-adjusted return without concentrating you in any single country.
What is the difference between developed and emerging markets?
Developed markets (US, Europe, Japan, Australia) have mature economies, stable institutions, and highly liquid financial markets. Emerging markets (China, India, Brazil, Mexico) have faster GDP growth but more variable political and regulatory stability, and their currencies tend to be more volatile.
Do XEQT or VEQT already include emerging-market exposure?
Yes. Both iShares XEQT and Vanguard VEQT include emerging-market exposure through underlying funds that track indices such as the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. The weighting is typically 10β13% of the total portfolio, reflecting emerging markets' share of global market capitalization.
Sources & references
- Vanguard Canada
- iShares (BlackRock) Canada
- MSCI β Emerging Markets Index
- Banque Mondiale β donnΓ©es Γ©conomiques
Educational content; verify figures with official sources before acting.